Last year, our team of Immigration Attorneys in Los Angeles speculated that the Comprehensive Immigration Reform bill would likely pass after a long debate in 2013. Now, in January of 2014 after delay due to the Republican-lead House, we are again anticipating final passage of such a monumental reform bill.
Likely to be a key issue of 2014, the proposed Comprehensive Immigration Reform bill included a pathway to citizenship for Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals, a provisional legal immigrant status for the currently undocumented, as well as stricter border enforcement and improvements to the U.S.-Mexico border.
Here are 4 reasons why we suspect Immigration Reform to pass:
Republican Support: One major obstacle for passing immigration reform was the lack of support from the GOP. The Republican Party has realized the lack of support and voters from the Latino community since the historically low amount of Latino voters in the 2012 federal election. The bipartisan group that wrote the Comprehensive Immigration Reform bill in 2013 consists of senior Republican lawmakers who have been able to grab the support from many other Republican Senators and prospectively Republican House leaders this year as well. The 2014 March primaries are expected to be a key moment in determining how reform progresses. Timing is very important, Republican Strategist John Freehery suggests.
Legalization over Citizenship: Most GOP party members have indicated support of legislation which favors legalization of undocumented immigrants over a path to citizenship or “amnesty”.
Activism steps up: 2013 was a huge year in grassroots activism from supporters of immigration reform, and political leaders began to listen. Massive hunger strikes outside the White House was a significant demonstration and drew visits of solidarity from a number of leaders from both sides of Congress, including the President. Protesters, marchers and rallies are likely to increase in 2014, putting increasing pressure on Confess to pass legislation.
Leadership: While President Obama has given his clear support for comprehensive immigration reform, House speaker John Boehner previously stated that he had “no intention: of negotiating with the Senate on their comprehensive immigration bill. However, towards the end of 2013, President Obama reveled that he and the House Speaker had a talk and Boehner said that he is “hopeful we can make progress” on immigration reform. Boehner recently hired a top aide to work on immigration reform.
With bipartisan support firmly focused on immigration reform and party members on both sides realizing the importance of the issue, comprehensive immigration reform is likely to be a sure thing in 2014.